Titulo:

Brexit, paz y Trump: enseñanzas para los economistas
.

Sumario:

Este ensayo analiza tres procesos electorales que tuvieron resultados inesperados: la salida del Reino Unido de la Unión Europea, el rechazo del acuerdo de paz en Colombia y la elección de Trump como presidente de Estados Unidos. Subraya tres aspectos: las predicciones se hicieron en una situación de incertidumbre con base en reglas o convenciones, las campañas involucraron fuertes elementos emocionales y los resultados fueron afectados por factores culturales (identitarios y religiosos) y no sólo económicos. La economía estándar omite tales factores aunque debería tomarlos en cuenta.

Guardado en:

0124-5996

2346-2450

20

2018-04-04

129

156

info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2

id metarevistapublica_uexternado_revistadeeconomiainstitucional_17_article_5275
record_format ojs
spelling Brexit, paz y Trump: enseñanzas para los economistas
Brexit, peace and Trump: lessons for economists
Este ensayo analiza tres procesos electorales que tuvieron resultados inesperados: la salida del Reino Unido de la Unión Europea, el rechazo del acuerdo de paz en Colombia y la elección de Trump como presidente de Estados Unidos. Subraya tres aspectos: las predicciones se hicieron en una situación de incertidumbre con base en reglas o convenciones, las campañas involucraron fuertes elementos emocionales y los resultados fueron afectados por factores culturales (identitarios y religiosos) y no sólo económicos. La economía estándar omite tales factores aunque debería tomarlos en cuenta.
This essay analyzes three elections that had unexpected results: the exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union, the rejection of the peace agreement in Colombia and the election of Trump as president of the United States. It emphasizes three aspects: the predictions were made in a situation of uncertainty based on rules or conventions, the campaigns involved strong emotional elements and the results were affected by cultural factors (identity and religious) and not only economic ones. Standard economics omits such factors although it should take them into account
García Molina, Mario
Chicaíza, Liliana Alejandra
Brexit
peace process
Trump
psychology
cognitive biases
decision making
A12
D84
D87
D91
Brexit
proceso de paz
Trump
psicología
sesgos cognitivos
toma de decisiones
A12
D84
D87
D91
Brexit
processo de paz
Trump
psicologia
tendências cognitivas
tomada de decisões
A12
D84
D87
D91
20
38
Núm. 38 , Año 2018 : Enero-Junio
Artículo de revista
Journal article
2018-04-04T00:00:00Z
2018-04-04T00:00:00Z
2018-04-04
application/pdf
application/xml
text/html
Universidad Externado de Colombia
Revista de Economía Institucional
0124-5996
2346-2450
https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/view/5275
10.18601/01245996.v20n38.06
https://doi.org/10.18601/01245996.v20n38.06
spa
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
129
156
Arnsten, A. F. (2009). Stress signaling pathways that impair prefrontal cortex structure and function. Nat. Rev. Neurosci., 10(6), 410-422.
Bagozzi, R. P., Gopinath, M. y Nyer, P. U. (1999). The role of emotions in marketing. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 27(2), 184-206.
Bachmann, V. y Sidaway, J. D. (2016). Brexit geopolitics. Geoforum, 77, 47-50.
BBC Mundo (2016, octubre 5). El rol de las iglesias cristianas evangélicas en la victoria del “No” en el plebiscito de Colombia, [http://www.bbc.com/mundo/noticias-america-latina-37560320].
Beigbeder, Y. (1994). International monitoring of plebiscites, referenda and national elections: Self-determination and transition to democracy. Dordrecht: Martinus Nijhoff.
Beigbeder, Y. (2011). Referendum. Max Planck Encyclopedia of Public International Law, [http://opil.ouplaw.com/view/10.1093/law:epil/9780199231690/law-9780199231690-e1088].
Bekafigo, M. A. Cohen, D. T., Gainous et al. (2013). State parties 2.0: Facebook, campaigns, and elections. International Journal of Technology, Knowledge, and Society, 9(1), 99-112.
Belaus, A., Reyna, C. y Freidin, E. (2016). Medición y manipulación de normas sociales en juegos experimentales de corrupción. Cuadernos de Economía, 35(68), 353-377.
Bergquist, Ch. (2017). La izquierda colombiana: un pasado paradójico, ¿un futuro promisorio? Anuario Colombiano de Historia Social y de la Cultura, 44(2), 263-299.
Bhambra, G. K. (2017). Brexit, Trump, and “methodological whiteness”: On the misrecognition of race and class. British Journal of Sociology, 68(special issue 1), S214-S232.
Bickmore, K., Kaderi, A. S. y Guerra S., A. (2017). Creating capacities for peacebuilding citizenship: History and social studies curricula in Bangladesh, Canada, Colombia, and Mexico. Journal of Peace Education, 14(3), 282-309.
Bobo, L. D. (2017). Racism in Trump’s America: Reflections on culture, sociology, and the 2016 US presidential election. British Journal of Sociology, 68(special issue 1), S85-S104.
Bock, J., Byrd-C. J. y Burkley, M. (2017). The role of sexism in voting in the 2016 presidential election. Personality and Individual Differences, 119(1), 189-193.
Bonikowski, B. (2017). Ethno-nationalist populism and the mobilization of collective resentment. British Journal of Sociology, 68(special issue 1), S181-S213.
Brader, T. (2005). Striking a responsive chord: How political ads motivate and persuade voters by appealing to emotions. American Journal of Political Science, 49(2), 388-405.
Caballero, C. (2016a). Nuestras encuestas y el plebiscito: algunas hipótesis, [http://cifrasyconceptos.com/nuestras-encuestas-y-el-plebiscito/].
Caballero, C. (2016b). Anexo, [http://cifrasyconceptos.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/ANEXOS.pdf?8ab3a8].
Carrete, J. R. (2004). Religion and Mestrovic’s post-emotional society: The manufacturing of religious emotion. Religion, 34, 271-289.
Castellá A., J. (2017). El referéndum sobre el Brexit: una historia inacabada. UNED. Revista de Derecho Político, 97, 297-334.
Castillo, V. M. (2013). Teorías de las organizaciones. México: Trillas.
Cohn, N. (2016). Why the surprise over ‘Brexit’? Don’t blame the polls. New York Times, junio 24, [http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/25/upshot/why-the-surprise-over-brexit-dont-blame-the-polls.html?partner=bloomberg].
Cloud, M. W. (2004). “One nation, under God”. Tolerable acknowledgement of religion or unconstitutional Cold War propaganda cloaked in American civil religion. Journal of Church and State, 46(2), 311-340.
Compte, O. y Postlewaite, A. (2004). Confidence-enhanced performance. American Economic Review, 94(5), 1536-1557.
Davis, J. B. (2003). The theory of the individual in economics: Identity and value. London: Routledge.
Dequech, D. (2003). Conventional and unconventional behavior under uncertainty. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 26(1), 145-168.
Dequech, D. (2011). Financial conventions in Keynes’s theory: The stock exchange. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 33(3), 469-489.
Dewey, C. (2016a). How online bots conned Brexit voters. The Washington Post. June 27, [https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-intersect/wp/2016/06/27/how-online-bots-conned-brexit-voters/?tid=a_inl&utm_term=.1a4c1c68f4b0].
Dewey, C. (2016b). Facebook fake news writer: ‘I think Donald Trump is in the White House because of me’. The Washington Post, November 17, [https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-intersect/wp/2016/11/17/facebook-fake-news-writer-i-think-donald-trump-is-in-the-white-house-because-of-me/?utm_term=.21c1aeab0946].
Dias-F., E., Sousa, J. C., Melo, I. et al. (2009). Chronic stress causes frontostriatal reorganization and affects decision-making. Science, 325, 621-625.
Duque D., J. (2016). Un plebiscito innecesario, una derrota inesperada. Razón Pública, [https://www.razonpublica.com/index.php/conflicto-drogas-y-paz-temas-30/9758-un-plebiscito-innecesario,-una-derrota-inesperada.html].
El Tiempo (2016, octubre 2). “Nos escuchan y los escucharemos” pide el expresidente Uribe, [http://www.eltiempo.com/politica/proceso-de-paz/palabras-de-alvaro-uribe-en-plebiscito/16716913].
Elster, J. (1998). Emotions and economic theory. Journal of Economic Literature, 36(1), 47-74.
Estrada O., V. M. (2016). Intolerancia ideológico-política y la paz en su laberinto. Prospectiva. Revista de Trabajo Social e Intervención Social, 22, 15-62.
Evans, G. (2017). Brexit Britain: We are all postindustrial now. American Ethnologist, 22(2), 215-219.
Faludi, S. (2016). How Hillary met Satan. New York Times. October 26, [https://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/30/opinion/sunday/how-hillary-clinton-met-satan.html?_r=0].
Field, C. D. (2016). Opinion polls. Counting Religion in Britain, [http://www.brin.ac.uk/2016/counting-religion-in-britain-july-2016/].
Fisher, B. y Lewis-B., M. (2016). Forecasting the 2015 British general election: The 1992 debacle all over again?. Electoral Studies, 41, 225-229.
Gaur, S. S., Herjanto, H. y Makkar, M. (2014). Review of emotions research in marketing, 2002-2013. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 21, 917-923.
Gómez-S., Andrei. (2016). El triunfo del No - La paradoja emocional detrás del plebiscito, Bogotá: Ícono.
Goodwin, M. J. y Heath, O. (2016). The 2016 referendum, Brexit and the left behind: An aggregate-level analysis of the result. Political Quarterly, 87(3), 323-332.
Guerreiro, J. y Rita, P. (2015). Attention, emotions and cause-related marketing effectiveness. European Journal of Marketing, 49(11/12), 1728-1750.
Heath, O. y Goodwin, M. J. (2017). The 2017 general election, Brexit and the return to two-party politics: An aggregate-level analysis of the result. Political Quarterly, 88(3), 345-358.
Henderson, A., Jeffery, C., Wincott, D. et al. (2017). How Brexit was made in England. British Journal of Politics and International Relations, 19(4), 631-646.
Hodgson, G. M. (1997). La ubicuidad de los hábitos y las reglas, Economía Institucional, 2(3), 11-43.
Hodgson, G. M. (2006). ¿Qué son las instituciones? Revista CS en Ciencias Sociales, 8, 17-53.
Hodgson, G. M. (2015). A trojan horse for sociology? Preferences versus evolution and morality. Review of Behavioral Economics, 2(1-2), 93-112, [ http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/105.00000021].
Horsey, D. (2016). President Sanders? Bernie would have beaten Trump. Los Angeles Times, December 22, [http://www.latimes.com/opinion/topoftheticket/la-na-tt-bernie-beats-trump-20161222-story.html].
Howard, Ph. N. y Kollanyi, B. (2016). Bots, #StrongerIn, and #Brexit: computational propaganda during the UK-EU referendum. Comprop Research Note 2016.1, [https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.06356].
Jimeno, M. (2017). Emotions and politics: A commentary on the accord to end the conflict in Colombia. Journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Anthropology, 22(1), 161-163.
Johnston, R., Pattie, C., Jones, K. y Manley, D (2017). Was the 2016 United States’ presidential contest a deviating election? Continuity and change in the electoral map. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 27(4), 369-388.
Keynes, J. M. (1970). La teoría general de la ocupación el interés y el dinero [1936]. México DF: Fondo de Cultura Económica.
Keynes, J. M. (1937). The general theory of employment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1937, 51(2), 209-223.
Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, fast and slow. Nueva York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux.
Kim, J. E., y Johnson, K. K. (2013). The impact of moral emotions on cause-related marketing campaigns: A cross-cultural examination. Journal of Business Ethics, 112(1), 79-90.
Koch, I. (2017). What’s in a vote? Brexit beyond culture wars. American Ethnologist, 44(2), 225-230.
Kollanyi, B., Howard, Ph. N. y Woolley, S. C. (2016a). Bots and automation over Twitter during the first U.S. presidential debate. Data Memo 2016.1. Oxford, UK: Project on Computational Propaganda, [www.politicalbots.org].
Kollanyi, B., Howard, Ph. N. y Woolley, S. C. (2016b). Bots and automation over Twitter during the second U.S. presidential debate. Data Memo 2016.2. Oxford, UK: Project on Computational Propaganda, [www.politicalbots.org].
Frantz, R. (2003). Herbert Simon: Artificial intelligence as a framework to understand intuition. Journal of Economic Psychology, 24, 265-277.
James, H. (2017). Gran Bretaña y Europa: ¿qué sigue?, Revista de Economía Institucional, 19(36), 75-93. J ennings, C. (2011). The good, the bad and the populist: A model of political agency with emotional voters. European Journal of Political Economy, 27, 611-624.
La República (2016, octubre 5). El No ha sido la campaña más barata y más efectiva de la historia, [http://www.larepublica.co/el-no-ha-sido-la-campa%C3%B1a-m%C3%A1s-barata-y-m%C3%A1s-efectiva-de-la-historia_427891].
Lamont, M., Park, B. Y. y Ayala H., E. (2017). Trump’s electoral speeches and his appeal to the American white working class. British Journal of Sociology, 68, S153-S180.
Lanchester, J. (2016). Brexit blues. London Review of Books, 38(15), 3-6.
Layman, G. (2016). Where is Trump’s evangelical base? Not in church. Trump’s evangelical supporters tend to be less devout. The Washington Post, March 29, [https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/03/29/where-is-trumps-evangelical-base-not-in-church/?utm_term=.c590b1ae6f11].
Le Bon, G. (1896). The crowd. A study of the popular mind. Kitchener, Ont.: Batoche Books, 2001.
Lewis-B., M. S. y Stegmaier, M. (2014). US presidential election forecasting: Introduction. PS: Political Science & Politics, 47(2), 284-288. doi: 10.1017/S104909651400002X.
Maisel, L. S. (2007). American political parties and elections. A very short introduction. New York: Oxford University Press.
Mast, J. (2016). Negotiating the ‘real’ in ‘reality shows’: Production side discourses between deconstruction and reconstruction. Media, Culture and Society, 38(6), 901-917.
Matanok, A. M. y García S., M. (2017). The Colombian paradox: Peace processes, elite divisions, and popular plebiscites. Daedalus, 146(4), 152-166.
Menon, A., y Salter, J. P. (2016). Brexit: Initial reflections. International Affairs, 92(6), 1297-1318.
Mestrovic, S. (1997). Postemotional society. Londres: Sage.
Nesbit, J. (2016). Donald Trump vowed to close the gap between church and State. Time, August 15, [http://time.com/4452309/trumps-evangelical-voters/].
Pireddu, N. (2017). Europe at the end of the tunnel: Malcolm Bradbury’s and Tim Parks’s eurosceptic Albion. English Studies, 98(6), 624-648.
Rattner, S. (2016). Trump, the next big short. The New York Times, October 10, [http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/10/opinion/trump-the-next-big-short.html?partner=bloomberg].
Rehman, T. U. (2016). Historical context of behavioral economics. Intellectual Economics, 10(2), 128-132.
Reynolds, D. J. (2017). Britain, the two world wars, and the problem of narrative. Historical Journal, 60, 197-231.
Rose, R. (2015). Referendum or plebiscite: What is the difference?, [http://ukandeu.ac.uk/referendum-or-plebiscite-whats-the-difference/].
Schnellenbach, J. y Schubert, C. (2015). Behavioral political economy. European Journal of Political Economy, 40, 395-417.
Sastoque, E. y García M., M. (2010). La Guerra civil de 1876-1877 en los Andes nororientales colombianos. Economía Institucional, 12(22), 193-214.
Shaw, T. (2002). Martyrs, miracles, and martians religion and Cold War cinematic propaganda in the 1950s. Journal of Cold War Studies, 4(2), 3-22.
Schuster, S. (2009). Las políticas de la historia en Colombia: el primer gobierno del Frente Nacional y el “problema” de La Violencia (1958-1962). Iberoamericana, 9(36), 9-26.
Simon, H. (1982). Models of bounded rationality, vol. 2. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.
Simon, H. (1995). Artificial intelligence: An empirical science. Artificial Intelligence, 77,
Tversy, A. y Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124-1131.
Van Winden, F. (2015). Political economy with affect: On the role of emotions and relationships. European Journal of Political Economy, 40, 298-311.
Watson, M. (2017). Brexit, the left behind and the let down: The political abstraction of ‘the economy’ and the UK’s EU referendum. British Politics, 12(4), 1-14.
Wilson, D. C. y King-M., T. (2016). Perceived electoral malfeasance and resentment over the election of Barack Obama. Electoral Studies, 44, 35-45.
Woolley, S. y Howard, P. (2016). Political communication, computational propaganda, and autonomous agents. International Journal of Communication, 10, 4882-4890.
https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5275/6403
https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5275/6767
https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5275/6953
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
http://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ARTREF
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
Text
Publication
institution UNIVERSIDAD EXTERNADO DE COLOMBIA
thumbnail https://nuevo.metarevistas.org/UNIVERSIDADEXTERNADODECOLOMBIA/logo.png
country_str Colombia
collection Revista de Economía Institucional
title Brexit, paz y Trump: enseñanzas para los economistas
spellingShingle Brexit, paz y Trump: enseñanzas para los economistas
García Molina, Mario
Chicaíza, Liliana Alejandra
Brexit
peace process
Trump
psychology
cognitive biases
decision making
Brexit
proceso de paz
Trump
psicología
sesgos cognitivos
toma de decisiones
Brexit
processo de paz
Trump
psicologia
tendências cognitivas
tomada de decisões
title_short Brexit, paz y Trump: enseñanzas para los economistas
title_full Brexit, paz y Trump: enseñanzas para los economistas
title_fullStr Brexit, paz y Trump: enseñanzas para los economistas
title_full_unstemmed Brexit, paz y Trump: enseñanzas para los economistas
title_sort brexit, paz y trump: enseñanzas para los economistas
title_eng Brexit, peace and Trump: lessons for economists
description Este ensayo analiza tres procesos electorales que tuvieron resultados inesperados: la salida del Reino Unido de la Unión Europea, el rechazo del acuerdo de paz en Colombia y la elección de Trump como presidente de Estados Unidos. Subraya tres aspectos: las predicciones se hicieron en una situación de incertidumbre con base en reglas o convenciones, las campañas involucraron fuertes elementos emocionales y los resultados fueron afectados por factores culturales (identitarios y religiosos) y no sólo económicos. La economía estándar omite tales factores aunque debería tomarlos en cuenta.
description_eng This essay analyzes three elections that had unexpected results: the exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union, the rejection of the peace agreement in Colombia and the election of Trump as president of the United States. It emphasizes three aspects: the predictions were made in a situation of uncertainty based on rules or conventions, the campaigns involved strong emotional elements and the results were affected by cultural factors (identity and religious) and not only economic ones. Standard economics omits such factors although it should take them into account
author García Molina, Mario
Chicaíza, Liliana Alejandra
author_facet García Molina, Mario
Chicaíza, Liliana Alejandra
topic Brexit
peace process
Trump
psychology
cognitive biases
decision making
Brexit
proceso de paz
Trump
psicología
sesgos cognitivos
toma de decisiones
Brexit
processo de paz
Trump
psicologia
tendências cognitivas
tomada de decisões
topic_facet Brexit
peace process
Trump
psychology
cognitive biases
decision making
Brexit
proceso de paz
Trump
psicología
sesgos cognitivos
toma de decisiones
Brexit
processo de paz
Trump
psicologia
tendências cognitivas
tomada de decisões
topicspa_str_mv Brexit
proceso de paz
Trump
psicología
sesgos cognitivos
toma de decisiones
Brexit
processo de paz
Trump
psicologia
tendências cognitivas
tomada de decisões
citationvolume 20
citationissue 38
citationedition Núm. 38 , Año 2018 : Enero-Junio
publisher Universidad Externado de Colombia
ispartofjournal Revista de Economía Institucional
source https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/view/5275
language spa
format Article
rights https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
references Arnsten, A. F. (2009). Stress signaling pathways that impair prefrontal cortex structure and function. Nat. Rev. Neurosci., 10(6), 410-422.
Bagozzi, R. P., Gopinath, M. y Nyer, P. U. (1999). The role of emotions in marketing. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 27(2), 184-206.
Bachmann, V. y Sidaway, J. D. (2016). Brexit geopolitics. Geoforum, 77, 47-50.
BBC Mundo (2016, octubre 5). El rol de las iglesias cristianas evangélicas en la victoria del “No” en el plebiscito de Colombia, [http://www.bbc.com/mundo/noticias-america-latina-37560320].
Beigbeder, Y. (1994). International monitoring of plebiscites, referenda and national elections: Self-determination and transition to democracy. Dordrecht: Martinus Nijhoff.
Beigbeder, Y. (2011). Referendum. Max Planck Encyclopedia of Public International Law, [http://opil.ouplaw.com/view/10.1093/law:epil/9780199231690/law-9780199231690-e1088].
Bekafigo, M. A. Cohen, D. T., Gainous et al. (2013). State parties 2.0: Facebook, campaigns, and elections. International Journal of Technology, Knowledge, and Society, 9(1), 99-112.
Belaus, A., Reyna, C. y Freidin, E. (2016). Medición y manipulación de normas sociales en juegos experimentales de corrupción. Cuadernos de Economía, 35(68), 353-377.
Bergquist, Ch. (2017). La izquierda colombiana: un pasado paradójico, ¿un futuro promisorio? Anuario Colombiano de Historia Social y de la Cultura, 44(2), 263-299.
Bhambra, G. K. (2017). Brexit, Trump, and “methodological whiteness”: On the misrecognition of race and class. British Journal of Sociology, 68(special issue 1), S214-S232.
Bickmore, K., Kaderi, A. S. y Guerra S., A. (2017). Creating capacities for peacebuilding citizenship: History and social studies curricula in Bangladesh, Canada, Colombia, and Mexico. Journal of Peace Education, 14(3), 282-309.
Bobo, L. D. (2017). Racism in Trump’s America: Reflections on culture, sociology, and the 2016 US presidential election. British Journal of Sociology, 68(special issue 1), S85-S104.
Bock, J., Byrd-C. J. y Burkley, M. (2017). The role of sexism in voting in the 2016 presidential election. Personality and Individual Differences, 119(1), 189-193.
Bonikowski, B. (2017). Ethno-nationalist populism and the mobilization of collective resentment. British Journal of Sociology, 68(special issue 1), S181-S213.
Brader, T. (2005). Striking a responsive chord: How political ads motivate and persuade voters by appealing to emotions. American Journal of Political Science, 49(2), 388-405.
Caballero, C. (2016a). Nuestras encuestas y el plebiscito: algunas hipótesis, [http://cifrasyconceptos.com/nuestras-encuestas-y-el-plebiscito/].
Caballero, C. (2016b). Anexo, [http://cifrasyconceptos.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/ANEXOS.pdf?8ab3a8].
Carrete, J. R. (2004). Religion and Mestrovic’s post-emotional society: The manufacturing of religious emotion. Religion, 34, 271-289.
Castellá A., J. (2017). El referéndum sobre el Brexit: una historia inacabada. UNED. Revista de Derecho Político, 97, 297-334.
Castillo, V. M. (2013). Teorías de las organizaciones. México: Trillas.
Cohn, N. (2016). Why the surprise over ‘Brexit’? Don’t blame the polls. New York Times, junio 24, [http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/25/upshot/why-the-surprise-over-brexit-dont-blame-the-polls.html?partner=bloomberg].
Cloud, M. W. (2004). “One nation, under God”. Tolerable acknowledgement of religion or unconstitutional Cold War propaganda cloaked in American civil religion. Journal of Church and State, 46(2), 311-340.
Compte, O. y Postlewaite, A. (2004). Confidence-enhanced performance. American Economic Review, 94(5), 1536-1557.
Davis, J. B. (2003). The theory of the individual in economics: Identity and value. London: Routledge.
Dequech, D. (2003). Conventional and unconventional behavior under uncertainty. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 26(1), 145-168.
Dequech, D. (2011). Financial conventions in Keynes’s theory: The stock exchange. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 33(3), 469-489.
Dewey, C. (2016a). How online bots conned Brexit voters. The Washington Post. June 27, [https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-intersect/wp/2016/06/27/how-online-bots-conned-brexit-voters/?tid=a_inl&utm_term=.1a4c1c68f4b0].
Dewey, C. (2016b). Facebook fake news writer: ‘I think Donald Trump is in the White House because of me’. The Washington Post, November 17, [https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-intersect/wp/2016/11/17/facebook-fake-news-writer-i-think-donald-trump-is-in-the-white-house-because-of-me/?utm_term=.21c1aeab0946].
Dias-F., E., Sousa, J. C., Melo, I. et al. (2009). Chronic stress causes frontostriatal reorganization and affects decision-making. Science, 325, 621-625.
Duque D., J. (2016). Un plebiscito innecesario, una derrota inesperada. Razón Pública, [https://www.razonpublica.com/index.php/conflicto-drogas-y-paz-temas-30/9758-un-plebiscito-innecesario,-una-derrota-inesperada.html].
El Tiempo (2016, octubre 2). “Nos escuchan y los escucharemos” pide el expresidente Uribe, [http://www.eltiempo.com/politica/proceso-de-paz/palabras-de-alvaro-uribe-en-plebiscito/16716913].
Elster, J. (1998). Emotions and economic theory. Journal of Economic Literature, 36(1), 47-74.
Estrada O., V. M. (2016). Intolerancia ideológico-política y la paz en su laberinto. Prospectiva. Revista de Trabajo Social e Intervención Social, 22, 15-62.
Evans, G. (2017). Brexit Britain: We are all postindustrial now. American Ethnologist, 22(2), 215-219.
Faludi, S. (2016). How Hillary met Satan. New York Times. October 26, [https://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/30/opinion/sunday/how-hillary-clinton-met-satan.html?_r=0].
Field, C. D. (2016). Opinion polls. Counting Religion in Britain, [http://www.brin.ac.uk/2016/counting-religion-in-britain-july-2016/].
Fisher, B. y Lewis-B., M. (2016). Forecasting the 2015 British general election: The 1992 debacle all over again?. Electoral Studies, 41, 225-229.
Gaur, S. S., Herjanto, H. y Makkar, M. (2014). Review of emotions research in marketing, 2002-2013. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 21, 917-923.
Gómez-S., Andrei. (2016). El triunfo del No - La paradoja emocional detrás del plebiscito, Bogotá: Ícono.
Goodwin, M. J. y Heath, O. (2016). The 2016 referendum, Brexit and the left behind: An aggregate-level analysis of the result. Political Quarterly, 87(3), 323-332.
Guerreiro, J. y Rita, P. (2015). Attention, emotions and cause-related marketing effectiveness. European Journal of Marketing, 49(11/12), 1728-1750.
Heath, O. y Goodwin, M. J. (2017). The 2017 general election, Brexit and the return to two-party politics: An aggregate-level analysis of the result. Political Quarterly, 88(3), 345-358.
Henderson, A., Jeffery, C., Wincott, D. et al. (2017). How Brexit was made in England. British Journal of Politics and International Relations, 19(4), 631-646.
Hodgson, G. M. (1997). La ubicuidad de los hábitos y las reglas, Economía Institucional, 2(3), 11-43.
Hodgson, G. M. (2006). ¿Qué son las instituciones? Revista CS en Ciencias Sociales, 8, 17-53.
Hodgson, G. M. (2015). A trojan horse for sociology? Preferences versus evolution and morality. Review of Behavioral Economics, 2(1-2), 93-112, [ http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/105.00000021].
Horsey, D. (2016). President Sanders? Bernie would have beaten Trump. Los Angeles Times, December 22, [http://www.latimes.com/opinion/topoftheticket/la-na-tt-bernie-beats-trump-20161222-story.html].
Howard, Ph. N. y Kollanyi, B. (2016). Bots, #StrongerIn, and #Brexit: computational propaganda during the UK-EU referendum. Comprop Research Note 2016.1, [https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.06356].
Jimeno, M. (2017). Emotions and politics: A commentary on the accord to end the conflict in Colombia. Journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Anthropology, 22(1), 161-163.
Johnston, R., Pattie, C., Jones, K. y Manley, D (2017). Was the 2016 United States’ presidential contest a deviating election? Continuity and change in the electoral map. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 27(4), 369-388.
Keynes, J. M. (1970). La teoría general de la ocupación el interés y el dinero [1936]. México DF: Fondo de Cultura Económica.
Keynes, J. M. (1937). The general theory of employment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1937, 51(2), 209-223.
Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, fast and slow. Nueva York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux.
Kim, J. E., y Johnson, K. K. (2013). The impact of moral emotions on cause-related marketing campaigns: A cross-cultural examination. Journal of Business Ethics, 112(1), 79-90.
Koch, I. (2017). What’s in a vote? Brexit beyond culture wars. American Ethnologist, 44(2), 225-230.
Kollanyi, B., Howard, Ph. N. y Woolley, S. C. (2016a). Bots and automation over Twitter during the first U.S. presidential debate. Data Memo 2016.1. Oxford, UK: Project on Computational Propaganda, [www.politicalbots.org].
Kollanyi, B., Howard, Ph. N. y Woolley, S. C. (2016b). Bots and automation over Twitter during the second U.S. presidential debate. Data Memo 2016.2. Oxford, UK: Project on Computational Propaganda, [www.politicalbots.org].
Frantz, R. (2003). Herbert Simon: Artificial intelligence as a framework to understand intuition. Journal of Economic Psychology, 24, 265-277.
James, H. (2017). Gran Bretaña y Europa: ¿qué sigue?, Revista de Economía Institucional, 19(36), 75-93. J ennings, C. (2011). The good, the bad and the populist: A model of political agency with emotional voters. European Journal of Political Economy, 27, 611-624.
La República (2016, octubre 5). El No ha sido la campaña más barata y más efectiva de la historia, [http://www.larepublica.co/el-no-ha-sido-la-campa%C3%B1a-m%C3%A1s-barata-y-m%C3%A1s-efectiva-de-la-historia_427891].
Lamont, M., Park, B. Y. y Ayala H., E. (2017). Trump’s electoral speeches and his appeal to the American white working class. British Journal of Sociology, 68, S153-S180.
Lanchester, J. (2016). Brexit blues. London Review of Books, 38(15), 3-6.
Layman, G. (2016). Where is Trump’s evangelical base? Not in church. Trump’s evangelical supporters tend to be less devout. The Washington Post, March 29, [https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/03/29/where-is-trumps-evangelical-base-not-in-church/?utm_term=.c590b1ae6f11].
Le Bon, G. (1896). The crowd. A study of the popular mind. Kitchener, Ont.: Batoche Books, 2001.
Lewis-B., M. S. y Stegmaier, M. (2014). US presidential election forecasting: Introduction. PS: Political Science & Politics, 47(2), 284-288. doi: 10.1017/S104909651400002X.
Maisel, L. S. (2007). American political parties and elections. A very short introduction. New York: Oxford University Press.
Mast, J. (2016). Negotiating the ‘real’ in ‘reality shows’: Production side discourses between deconstruction and reconstruction. Media, Culture and Society, 38(6), 901-917.
Matanok, A. M. y García S., M. (2017). The Colombian paradox: Peace processes, elite divisions, and popular plebiscites. Daedalus, 146(4), 152-166.
Menon, A., y Salter, J. P. (2016). Brexit: Initial reflections. International Affairs, 92(6), 1297-1318.
Mestrovic, S. (1997). Postemotional society. Londres: Sage.
Nesbit, J. (2016). Donald Trump vowed to close the gap between church and State. Time, August 15, [http://time.com/4452309/trumps-evangelical-voters/].
Pireddu, N. (2017). Europe at the end of the tunnel: Malcolm Bradbury’s and Tim Parks’s eurosceptic Albion. English Studies, 98(6), 624-648.
Rattner, S. (2016). Trump, the next big short. The New York Times, October 10, [http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/10/opinion/trump-the-next-big-short.html?partner=bloomberg].
Rehman, T. U. (2016). Historical context of behavioral economics. Intellectual Economics, 10(2), 128-132.
Reynolds, D. J. (2017). Britain, the two world wars, and the problem of narrative. Historical Journal, 60, 197-231.
Rose, R. (2015). Referendum or plebiscite: What is the difference?, [http://ukandeu.ac.uk/referendum-or-plebiscite-whats-the-difference/].
Schnellenbach, J. y Schubert, C. (2015). Behavioral political economy. European Journal of Political Economy, 40, 395-417.
Sastoque, E. y García M., M. (2010). La Guerra civil de 1876-1877 en los Andes nororientales colombianos. Economía Institucional, 12(22), 193-214.
Shaw, T. (2002). Martyrs, miracles, and martians religion and Cold War cinematic propaganda in the 1950s. Journal of Cold War Studies, 4(2), 3-22.
Schuster, S. (2009). Las políticas de la historia en Colombia: el primer gobierno del Frente Nacional y el “problema” de La Violencia (1958-1962). Iberoamericana, 9(36), 9-26.
Simon, H. (1982). Models of bounded rationality, vol. 2. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.
Simon, H. (1995). Artificial intelligence: An empirical science. Artificial Intelligence, 77,
Tversy, A. y Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124-1131.
Van Winden, F. (2015). Political economy with affect: On the role of emotions and relationships. European Journal of Political Economy, 40, 298-311.
Watson, M. (2017). Brexit, the left behind and the let down: The political abstraction of ‘the economy’ and the UK’s EU referendum. British Politics, 12(4), 1-14.
Wilson, D. C. y King-M., T. (2016). Perceived electoral malfeasance and resentment over the election of Barack Obama. Electoral Studies, 44, 35-45.
Woolley, S. y Howard, P. (2016). Political communication, computational propaganda, and autonomous agents. International Journal of Communication, 10, 4882-4890.
type_driver info:eu-repo/semantics/article
type_coar http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
type_version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
type_coarversion http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
type_content Text
publishDate 2018-04-04
date_accessioned 2018-04-04T00:00:00Z
date_available 2018-04-04T00:00:00Z
url https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/view/5275
url_doi https://doi.org/10.18601/01245996.v20n38.06
issn 0124-5996
eissn 2346-2450
doi 10.18601/01245996.v20n38.06
citationstartpage 129
citationendpage 156
url2_str_mv https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5275/6403
url4_str_mv https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5275/6767
url3_str_mv https://revistas.uexternado.edu.co/index.php/ecoins/article/download/5275/6953
_version_ 1811200098946777088